Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Baylor Bears, Texas Bowl. The Bears arrive at the bowl with a record similar to that of the Commodores in the regular season, but with defensive problems. Both teams have similar records and similar averages in number of points per game, but what will decide this bowl will be defensive. Commodores are favorites by -3.5 points in the point spread and their defense is slightly better than Baylor’s.
Vanderbilt Commodores: Defensive by points.
The Commodores closed the season with 6-6-0 overall. The record in the conference was negative, 3-5 in the East Division of the Southeastern Conference. The performance was poor for Vanderbilt this season, at least they kept a positive record at home with 5-2-0 and 1-4-0 on the road.
Commodores are averaging 27.7 points per game this season, 34 rushes per game with 157.8 yards. By air up to 240.2 yards for 20.1 complete passes on average per game. The last four games of the regular season the record was 3-1-0.
Kyle Shurmur this season had a high percentage of passes completed with 64% in the regular season, 2844 yards, 23 touchdowns and only 6 interceptions. Shurmur had one of the best years so far. The defense is allowing only 25.1 points per game, but with problems to stop the runners, they allow up to 187.2 rushing yards per game.
Baylor Bears: Defensive problems.
The Bears are not favorites, sports journalists doubt that the Bears have the weapons to play against commodores. The Bears’ record was 6-6-0 in the regular season. Slightly with negative record 4-5 in the Big 12 Conference, but with a positive record at home 4-2 overall. The Bears suffered many defeats this season, they did not have a single winning streak.
The problem of the Bears has been defensive, they are allowing up to 31.2 points per game, 36.2 rushes with 180.8 yards. By air the Bears allow up to 243.5 yards with only 19.2 complete passes.
Charlie Brewer has not had a bad season, 61.5% of completions, 2635 yards, 17 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Brewer has also been effective as a runner, 117 rushes as QB this season for 266 yards and 6 touchdowns.
My Free Pick & Prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Baylor Bears, Texas Bowl 12/27/2018 is: take the New England Patriots -5.0 (Point Spread).
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